You get the volume of planet Earth. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. Which one's bigger? So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Well then, that would be one in 2150,000 , which is about 1 in 1045,000 a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! They each roll the dice and they all come up with. mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred xx, Lets be social! You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. Step 2. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Now things start getting interesting. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . Thats a pretty good trip. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. They agree to within a factor of two! There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Dr. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. Thats going to take a LONG time. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . Part of HuffPost Wellness. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation."
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